No. 334: The Relevance of The Letter

BoF

This week, The Atlantic’s Kaitlyn Tiffany wrote a nuanced and worthwhile report on the history of the newsletter industry. The length of the history depends on whom you ask. To her point, Substack would like you to believe that their team pioneered the movement. She argues, correctly, that they’ve successfully adapted it for a different audience. They’ll likely see great, longterm success. One glance at Substack’s paid leaderboard screen and you may understand the point that the author made throughout. In her piece, she writes:

“[Newsletters have] been a thing,” says Ann Friedman, who has written a weekly newsletter since 2013, has 40,000 subscribers, and is widely recognized as one of the leaders of the first newsletter boom.

In many ways, Tiffany’s article was relevant to a few thoughts that I’ve been managing for some time. She aptly stated the argument that while Andreessen Horowitz’s $15.3 million investment into Substack signaled a beginning, it became a useful tool to make newsletters “cool” to other groups. She provides a bullet-by-bullet history of some of the most important names in the newsletter industry’s history. The report is worth your time.

Backstage at September’s Destination D2C, a dozen or so colleagues convened to chat about the professional world, a passion that each of us pursue in our own ways. We each shared a few things in common but the most important was our interest in the direct-to-consumer industry. Now memorialized in Modern Retail‘s “The Rise of the DTC Bro,” that backstage scene was a significant moment and one that would not have been possible without the aid of the mainstreaming of newsletters as a media platform, to Kaitlyn Tiffany’s earlier point. Cale Weissman began:

It started with Paul Munford, founder of the luxury newsletter Lean Luxe, alongside Web Smith, founder of the site 2PM, who sat beside Helena Price Hambrecht, the founder and CEO of Haus. Then came Marco Marandiz, a DTC strategist and consultant, who sat down and joined a conversation about their clients. After that, Nik Sharma, whose Twitter profile describes himself as “the DTC guy,” joined the fun.

What, perhaps, the Modern Retail reporter didn’t see in that scene was the disproportionate amounts of rejection tolerated by each member of that seated group. Helena Price Hambrecht, a now well-known direct-to-consumer founder, began as a creative. In her own right, Hambrecht is a master communicator.

She proved herself quickly but for those of us who knew her before the bottles shipped, she was already proven.

But before Haus launched to a sellout crowd, the brand that she cofounded faced an uphill battle. No one wanted to fund her idea. Early on, reporters privately panned her concept and approach. I know, personally, that she pitched over 500 times to complete her $1 million seed round. That’s an extraordinarily high failure rate. Traditional VCs consider: geography, industry, age, gender, and more. Pattern matching provides comfort and a bit of insurance. Hambrecht was not a pattern match. However, the next round that she raised would close within days. In a comment to 2PM, Haus founder Helena Price wrote:

Our first $1 million took eight months and about 500 pitches. We heard a lot of no’s. There were plenty of dark points and moments of doubt. That said, if you truly believe that there is an audience for what you’re building, you’ll find those people in VC too. I tell people raising, now, that they probably haven’t met 90% of the people who will ultimately invest in them. You just have to keep getting intros and sending cold emails and you’ll eventually find your people.

She proved herself quickly but for those of us who knew her before the bottles shipped: nothing had changed, she was already proven. She just didn’t match the idea of a retail executive and manufacturer. As for the idea of a eCommerce industry leader or thinker, few of those of us who sat backstage matched that pattern either. Marandiz, Sharma, Munford, nor I are the prototypical resources for the higher rungs of the commerce and media industries. You wouldn’t find a single one of us on this list of industry insiders. There are several of the list’s members who subscribe to 2PM or Lean Luxe, however.

In an industry that glazes over contributions of those who don’t match the proverbial pattern, the newsletter movement has provided a platform. What each of us shared in the moment was memorialized by that paragraph. Before we were publishers, we were operators at some point: founders, directors, managers, builders. And that hard-earned experience was the wind the pushed our personal projects forward.

Sharma, once the Director of eCommerce for Hint Water (and then Vaynermedia) is often a co-writer to the prolific David Perell. A public relations executive by trade, Munford launched Lean Luxe within months of 2PM launching. Marco Marandiz made his name publishing now-famous Twitter analyses of DTC brands like Away and Glossier. He began doing so while leading product at HomeAway. And before I managed commerce for media publications Gear Patrol and Uncrate, I cofounded Mizzen + Main. Still, those credentials often fall short.

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Sherrell Dorsey, Dan Runcie, QuHarrison Terry, and Web Smith

Just three months ago, 2PM was featured on a National Association of Black Journalists (NABJ) panel with successful (and lucrative) newsletter publications: The Plug, Inevitable Human, and Trapital. The topic was on “building paid subscription media companies.” But the common thread throughout was easy enough to observe: without the critical mass of a newsletter audience, our ideas would likely be re-packaged at a traditional outlet through on-the-record or off-the-record conversations with professional reporters. Newsletter publishers strive to own the distribution of their ideas and the communities around them.

So when I read the article by Modern Retail, I wasn’t upset. Weissman is a great writer and he likely meant no harm. But I was confused by how no one saw what we did. I am not sure that many readers understood how proud we were to be sitting there in the first place. Just three years prior and that scene wouldn’t have happened. To me, the moment felt like an enormous privilege. In each instance, we found our own ways to deliver our practical and experience-driven ideas to a very competitive ecosystem. And on that day, the founding team at Yotpo recognized the validity of them all. It was an important moment.

The Pre-Substack Era

Goal: publish 180 letters. Reassess. Launching 2PM, Inc. in 2015 was a hail mary of sorts. In December of that year, I was no longer co-running a DTC operation. Instead, I was advising and / or building eCommerce operations for publishers. As a side project, I started 2pml.com as a way to maintain accountability to myself.

2PM was a simple proposition: understand everything to get better at the one thing.

I wanted to get better at my profession. At the time, my focus on one task was leading to more blind spots than tangible progress. As such, I was missing out on the practical knowledge that follows reading, thinking, and hard analysis. The first 2PM email published to 11 people; I’d monetize it after 180 letters out of necessity. Building this company became my full time job.

By understanding how 2PM’s commerce-adjacent industries interact to negatively or positively impact one another, I was able to map the best steps for the projects that I was attached to – then and now. With 2PM, I hoped to duplicate those same abilities for other industry colleagues. It is a simple proposition: understand everything to impact that one thing.

If there were any blindspots in Tiffany’s Is Anyone Going to Get Rich off of Email Newsletters? [1], there may be one. There is a growing collective of former operators who spend the majority of their time honing their publishing skills. They understand commerce and marketing and branding and logistics and data science. They’ve shipped packages, negotiated distribution deals, and led performance marketing efforts. And readers appear to be drawn to the raw perspectives of those who are discussing industries from within the walls. Whether you’re reading Emily Singer’s Chips and Dip, Magdalena Kala’s Retales, Richie Siegel’s Loose Threads, Jenny Gyllander’s Thing Testing, or Paul Munford’s Lean Luxe, the presence of operational experience is felt.

The Operator-First Publisher

So yes, Substack left out relevant history on their July 17th “A better history for news” blog. Of course they highlighted Ben Thompson and Jessica Lessin, luminaries of the indie paid subscription industry. But Substack may have missed another trend. Substack concludes their homage to publishing with:

One hundred and eighty-four years since the New York Sun first went on sale, we are standing on the cusp of a new revolution in the news business. The time for mourning the loss of the old media model is over. Now is the time to look ahead to the next two centuries.

The revolution itself is not new. But it is reaching new types of thinkers looking for a platform to move their industries forward. Will it make publishers rich? Maybe, maybe not. But publishing as a platform is altogether different than sending newsletters alone. Gyllander just completed a sizable angel round from many of Silicon Valley’s best and brightest. Her subscription-based approach is fresh, credible, and engaging. Siegel just successfully held a one-day retail conference that wouldn’t have existed without his Loose Threads newsletter. Munford fills Lean Luxe social events each time they are held. While not a paid-subscriber driven platform (for now), he’s successfully monetized through weekly sponsorships. And 2PM is launching its first members-only forum for commerce and media executives: Polymathic. Each company has tremendous opportunity ahead of them.

The era of the operator-first publisher is a fascinating one to observe. In some ways, it’s leveling an exclusive playing field within media tables. But at one table, in the backroom of Yotpo’s well-appointed venue, a group certainly stood out – literally and figuratively. We carried ourselves differently and we looked different. Non-traditional voices in business-adjacent media are positively impacting traditional media circles. And the hope is that those newsletter-turned-platforms continue to provide new ideas to the executive levels of established digital industries. 2PM is once again observing a quiet movement from within.

Read the No. 334 curation here.

Report by Web Smith and Edited by Tracey Wallace | About 2PM

Member Brief: The DTX Company

The DTX Company is emblematic of the era that we’re in. A new fund – led by former Oath CEO Tim Armstrong – has launched to influence an evolving direct to consumer retail ecosystem. In this report, we take a look at what DTX is hoping to achieve and we suggest an adjusted path forward. Things are changing quickly and DTX has an opportunity to position their fund for where DTC is going. A new cohort of direct-to-consumer brands launches to calculated fanfare, nearly every week. And with each of those additions, the landscape changes. In No. 297, The DTC Industrial Complex we discussed the state of the ecosystem:

This member brief is designed exclusively for Executive Members, to make membership easy, you can click below and gain access to hundreds of reports, our DTC Power List, and other tools to help you make high level decisions.

Join Here

No. 303: Newsletter Economics

On newsletter economics. Perhaps, digital media growth was intended to be slow and methodical. It could be said that the best models for media are devoid of venture capital. Without it, publishers would have to grow their audiences reader by reader, transaction by transaction. For many newsletter-driven media companies, this has been the method. Building a moat around a product once involved volume by way of Facebook and Google; today it means building a world without either. Customer acquisition principles in the realms of direct-to-consumer products and independent media are quite similar. Capital efficiency and acquisition independence are the aims of each industry. The races are long and unceremonious but the benefits of organic growth remain the treasure at the end of the rainbow.

In 2016, WIRED published an article entitled The Blissfully Slow World of Internet Newsletters. In the article, it discusses a few of the pivotal email-driven media publications of this era (2015-2019):

This isn’t a new digital gold mine poised to monetize all our eyeballs. Sure, there are some professional-class newsletters. Ben Thompson’s Stratechery costs $100 a year. Lena Dunham’s Lenny Letter has 400,000 subscribers; theSkimm, a news summarizer, has over 1.5 million. But from what I’ve seen, more newsletters are in the long tail—publishing for audiences from the single-digit thousands to the dozens. They’re engineered not for virality but originality: It’s a chance to listen in while someone thinks out loud.

Today, nearly every major digital publication has a newsletter strategy. Condé Nast just announced that they’ll be launching a new vertical called “Vogue Business.” And they aren’t the only ones. The power of the email medium is two-fold, it’s independent of the aggregators and it helps to develop 1:1 relationships with community members. Stratechery’s Ben Thompson is the authority on aggregation theory. In his view, brands and publishers are not truly safe unless they can operate independently. In today’s member letter, he wrote:

What is clear, though, is that the only way to build a thriving business in a space dominated by an Aggregator is to go around them, not to work with them. In the case of publishers, that means subscriptions, or finding ways to monetize, like the Ringer, beyond text. For web properties it means building destination sites that are not completely reliant on Google. 

The Buzzfeed Lesson

For many in the media industry, “going around” an aggregator means that newsletters are a key component for the hedge against the duopoly of Facebook and Google. In a recent blog post by David Perrell wrote: “Powered by organic distribution, “Need Content” publishers are armed with competitive advantages that cannot be bought on Facebook, Instagram, Google, or Amazon. Brand loyalty, trust and credibility can’t be bought. It must be earned over time.” While Amazon is competing against the duopoly in product discovery, the newsletter media industry and its enablers (Mailchimp, Substack, Memberful) are helping media companies compete for readership loyalty. There are essentially three types of newsletter products:

(1) a newsletter that provides a traffic driver to an existing site. A great example of this is Digiday’s recent foray into a thrice-weekly retail newsletter called the Digiday Retail Briefing led by Hilary MilnesFor Digiday, Milnes and team take extra care to present unique perspectives and exclusive editorials within the email product.

(2) a newsletter that operates as testing ground for future digital verticals. Look no further than today’s news that broke in the Financial TimesVogue Business will start primarily as a newsletter, published twice a week and edited by Lauren Indvik, former editor-in-chief of Fashionista.com. There are 21 employees working on the venture, including six writers. The project is rumored to be a newsletter-driven, B2B media publication for those interested in fashion, beauty, and luxury retail. Like Paul Munford’s Lean Luxe newsletter, the publication hopes to attract the hearts and minds of modern and traditional brand insiders.

(3) The newsletter that is the medium.

Lean Luxe Founder: Paul Munford

While each publication is unique, for media companies like Stratechery, Loose Threads, Lean Luxe, TheSkimm, and 2PM – the primary product is the email. And the economics of these businesses have one similarity – the readers support the product in some way or another. At Lean Luxe, Founder Paul Munford supports his weekly letter by partnering with short-term, audience-focused brand sponsors. These aren’t outside advertisers. Rather, they are businesses that already exist within his ecosystem, amplifying their presence by way of his newsletter feature. Here’s what Munford had to say in a short Q&A with 2PM:

When did you see a need for a newsletter? how do you go about addressing this need?

The newsletter was the priority from day one. I chose this path because I knew that I wanted to own the relationship and have a direct line to the consumer — that that was the most fundamental thing going forward for all companies, media or otherwise.

I think plenty of media co’s are still grappling with this concept, the balance between their true customers and focus being between the end user (and that relationship) versus the advertiser. I never thought that was sustainable and have always viewed that as such a limited business model considering what you can do today as “media” operation, and how your role can now be rethought or rebuilt around that idea of more than just content.

How does your audience support your work?

The audience supports my work by reading, by sponsoring, by spreading the word, by emailing thoughts, tips and ideas. And generally being engaged with the Lean Luxe brand – as limited as it is – in a way that’s meaningful.

Any thoughts on traditional publishers infringing on your space?

No big thoughts really and I mean that.The competition makes me shrug a lot; I like to shrug. They’ll just mostly be focused on content-only products as the big thing, perhaps with some events mixed in. But they won’t bring a distinctive point of view, they won’t be building out an engaged and powerful community, and in many, many places they’ll simply be dropping the ball.

Not remotely worried – especially since I don’t consider media or publishing to be the core competency of Lean Luxe. It’s part of the package, sure, but it’s not the future model and really just serves to spark conversations between folks. For us, media is important, but it’s more of a means to a larger end, not an end goal in and of itself. It’s just a complement to an overall larger thing we’re building.

Lean Luxe also benefits from a few key innovations: a partnership with Lightspeed Venture Capital and a Slack channel that is one of the retail industry’s leading sources of banter and discovery. To receive an invite to the Lean Luxe chat, you must be an active subscriber for several months. And recently, Nike partnered with Lean Luxe to brainstorm new direct to consumer products. Munford’s company has yet to raise any outside capital. In category No. 3 of newsletters, this is in contrast to TheSkimm.

See: The Indie Digital Publisher List

While, TheSkimm has the benefit (and responsibility) of nearly $29 million raised – their profile is still closely aligned with the third type of newsletter product, for now. Founded by Danielle Weisberg and Carly Zakin, the media company has attracted the attention of many of the titans in the industry, to include: Oprah Winfrey, Sarah Blakely, Google Ventures, Homebrew, and RRE. The original newsletter has provided a platform that now includes its own native app, podcast series, and calendar technology that syncs directly to your calendar of choice so that you don’t miss the cultural events that are important to its readers (I am one of them).

The blissfully slow world of 2pM

For newsletter-driven companies like 2PM growth experience has been slow and methodical. I had the idea for the newsletter in December 2015. Initially, it was for a few dozen or so friends who wanted a digital destination for curiosity and research. We all shared a desire for a distraction-free newsletter that tracked the ways that media, branding, logistics, commerce, and data science were intersecting and amplifying one another. At the time, every publication – regardless of its intended focus – was broadcasting the American political discourse. And between the distraction of politics and the heads-down grind of working in hyper-growth industries – there wasn’t a place that helped guide executives and executives-to-be back to the bigger picture.

What is happening now in the context of everything else? What will happen next? How do we prepare? How do we respond?

I was quietly building 2PM while also focused on operations in the real world – building commerce operations for content providers or partnering content providers with commerce solutions. About two years into the slog of building a worthwhile audience, I launched the Executive Membership at 2PM. By then, 2PM became a 60-70 hour per week job between writing original content, curating meaningful and valuable letters, and updating 20-50 database data points per day. A paid membership allowed the top 10-15 percent of our engaged audience to support the whole. When I re-platformed to WordPress in the beginning of 2018, it allowed me to begin building a suite of tools for members to track commerce and commerce-adjacent industries. And it added a community of industry leaders looking to collaborate and build with one another.

In addition to traditional publishing, I felt that maintaining an operational advantage was important. When 2PM publishes, it is necessary that the perspective is that of an operator within the community, not just an observer. The addition of agency executive Meghan Terwilliger solidified this core tenet of 2PM’s product voice. To amplify this perspective to our published data an editorial, 2PM launched invitation-only Growth Partnerships in Q3 of 2018. This allowed 2PM to partner with leaders of the industry throughout logistics, agencies, brands, and financing.

The primary constraints to growth and sustainability are: audience loyalty, revenue, and retention. Each newsletter addresses these needs in their own ways. As Perrell recently wrote, “content and commerce are converging.” For newsletter-driven media companies, quality and effort are differentiators. Platforms like these can rarely withstand days of failure because the communities are small and value and consistency are the priorities to them.

As the digital publishing industry continues to shed jobs and pivot away from aggregators like Facebook and Google, newsletter media’s principles will influence the traditional media’s largest companies: (1) slow and sustainable growth, (2) community, and (3) subscription-based revenue. Teams will be leaner, capital will be more efficient, and platforms will answer to the community – not advertising partners. The blissfully slow world of internet newsletters may produce the blueprint that addresses digital media’s chief concerns. Namely: who is our loyal audience? And how do we achieve a path to profitability?

Read your No. 303 curation here.

Report by Web Smith | About 2PM