备忘录Whoop 赢了,亚马逊输了

Whoop 赢了,亚马逊的 Halo 系列产品被 "摧残 "了。

亚马逊决定关闭其可穿戴技术业务,该业务旨在与谷歌穿戴操作系统和苹果手表等市场上的其他知名企业竞争。但最值得注意的还是亚马逊与 Whoop 的竞争。当亚马逊试图复制Whoop的核心设计理念和技术时,Whoop首席执行官威尔-艾哈迈德(Will Ahmed)怒不可遏。9 月 2021 日,艾哈迈德在推特上写道"[我们]在每一块 4.0 电路板上都给亚马逊等公司留了言"。然而,竞争的深度远不止一条推特。华尔街日报》2020 年 7 月的一篇报道解释道

参与之前交易的亚马逊前员工表示,亚马逊是一家以增长为导向、极具竞争力的公司,其创新能力非常强大,因此经常会忍不住尝试开发新技术,即使这些新技术与亚马逊投资的初创企业存在竞争。

亚马逊面临着巨大的挑战,最终败给了 Whoop。亚马逊在这一领域的失败,以及 Whoop 通过企业合作、创新和整体知名度实现持续增长的关键原因。

1.缺乏差异化:亚马逊的 Halo 产品与 Whoop 或其他市场领导者的产品相比,没有任何显著差异。相比之下,Whoop 的产品则脱颖而出,其重点是个性化健康、性能和健身见解,包括恢复跟踪和睡眠分析。由于 Halo 缺乏独特功能,亚马逊很难说服潜在客户选择它的产品而不是 Whoop 等产品。

2.进入市场较晚:亚马逊推出 Halo 时,Whoop 已通过与职业体育联盟和运动员的众多官方和非官方合作,在可穿戴技术领域确立了自己的强势地位。消费者和企业已经习惯了Whoop的产品和生态系统,这使得亚马逊要打入市场并获得相当大的市场份额具有挑战性。

3.品牌声誉:Whoop 因其产品质量、创新和注重客户体验而建立了良好的声誉。相比之下,亚马逊模仿 Whoop 产品的做法在市场上并不受欢迎,这种负面印象影响了 Halo 设备的采用。

4.企业伙伴关系:Whoop 已经成功地与那些希望利用可穿戴技术为员工的健康和保健服务的企业和组织建立了重要的合作伙伴关系。Whoop 是美国职业高尔夫球协会的官方合作伙伴。这类合作伙伴关系不仅帮助 Whoop 获得了稳定的收入来源,还扩大了其市场影响力和品牌知名度。

5.不断创新:Whoop 不断投资研发,改进产品和功能。这种对创新的承诺使该公司能够在竞争中保持领先,并保持其市场领导者的地位。另一方面,亚马逊却没有为 Halo 投资开发新的独特功能,从而降低了对消费者的吸引力。今年 3 月,Whoop 宣布了一项新的压力跟踪功能。

每个会员的当前读数被转换成个性化的 "压力得分",然后与他们过去14天的个人心率变异基线以及典型的静息心率进行比较。在生成会员的压力得分时,WHOOP 能够区分生理压力和身体压力。

4 月 25 日,Whoop 推出了 "力量训练器 "服务,允许用户通过测量 "肌肉负荷的生理影响 "来跟踪力量训练。

6.有效的市场营销和整体知名度:Whoop 通过有针对性的营销活动、社交媒体、运动员和名人(尤其是高尔夫球界)的代言,成功地提高了产品的知名度。这帮助公司建立了强大的品牌影响力,吸引了一批忠实用户。像Golf.com 这样的产品非常宝贵

罗里-麦克罗伊(Rory McIlroy)和贾斯汀-托马斯(Justin Thomas)等顶尖球员都使用了 Whoop 的详细录音,而尼克-沃特尼(Nick Watney)则是第一位检测出 Covid 阳性的美巡赛高尔夫球手,他是通过 Whoop 手环的心脏和呼吸录音得知自己携带病毒的。

亚马逊曾围绕联网设备及其贡献的众多数据实施了一项大胆的收购战略,但由于上述原因,这一战略并未如愿以偿。我在《消费者数据与亚马逊》一书中解释道:

目前,亚马逊的业务涉及以下类别:笔记本电脑、流媒体电视、家庭助理、智能扬声器、门相机、健身监视器,以及现在的吸尘器。总体而言,亚马逊比世界上任何其他公司都更了解消费者。

关闭可穿戴设备部门意味着亚马逊将无法再收集用户的健康习惯、体育活动和其他与健康相关的偏好数据。这些数据本可以用来向用户提供更有针对性的广告,增加广告收入。

然而,亚马逊仍然拥有庞大的数据收集基础设施。虽然关闭可穿戴设备部门会减少对特定类型消费者数据的访问,从而影响亚马逊的数据收集战略,但该公司多元化的产品和服务组合确保其仍拥有强大的数据收集基础设施。但这只是暂时的。亚马逊似乎更愿意重新考虑每一个非传统电子商务、实体零售或零售媒体网络的项目。亚马逊下一步会做什么?

作者:Web Smith | 编辑:Hilary Milnes,美术:Alex Remy 和 Christina Williams

Members Only: Fully Vertical Meal Delivery

If your consumer product relies exclusively on dry ice for shipment, you’re at a growing disadvantage in the “now” market. for Fully vertical meal delivery (or FVMD) is as much of a marketing channel for traditional shippers as it is a distribution strategy for regional delivery companies. There are some promising developments in this market.

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备忘录:DTC 的增长困境(及解决之道)

To make sweeping, effective changes requires top down decision-making, humility, and curiosity. Walmart, in 2016, deserves the credit for its senior-level executives’ willingness to listen to innovative problem solvers introduced to the team from the outside.

The recent off-loading of Bonobos and Eloquii were not signs of failure – they were signs of Walmart’s ultimate success in transitioning into a new-age version of itself. This decade is part of an era of corporate retail defined by marketing arbitrage, who achieves it, who lags behind, and who all together ignores it. It’s a tale of complacency and arrogance versus a corporate DNA of humility and curiosity.

The eCommerce industry has many stories of retailers earning effortless growth. They don’t realize at the time that what they’re experiencing is actually well-executed arbitrage. But then the effects of that arbitrage are dampened by saturation. The CMO search ensues and now the pressure is on. Their first task will be to explain to the CEO that the company has the DNA of a laggard and that old ways of doing business needs to cede to newer ways. In a number of ways, Marc Lore, Andy Dunn, and the many women and men who joined Walmart as result served in this role for Walmart between 2016 and 2020. Three years later and the last, formal signs of that have departed. But the DNA of innovation remains at Walmart.

Imagine if Netflix didn’t pivot to streaming because DVDs in red packets were still moving. Many retail CEOs today may not see – and seize – such an opportunity to grow via marketing arbitrage.

As a result, such a company teeters away from growth mode, holding close to aging methods, while others reinvent themselves by building atop newer forms of arbitrage and mastering the tactics required to navigate the new opportunity. Bed Bath & Beyond just filed for bankruptcy after years of neglecting its eCommerce department. Walmart’s stock is trading near all-time highs despite gradually reducing its store count. The difference is in the DNA.

Marketing arbitrage is when a new channel or novel tactic is identified – one with low saturation that can achieve an outsized impact if leveraged quickly enough. Google’s Global Enablement Lead wrote in 2014:

One of the most exciting parts of being a marketer today is the perpetual challenge of finding new channels and tactics to leverage. There’s a whole host of marketing arbitrage opportunities out there – if you know where to look and spend your time.

Walmart will be considered one of the most innovative companies of the last decade. Not because of anything that the company invented, but rather because it maintained a humility and curiosity to understand that it needed to out-innovate the adoption curve of new technologies and industry-wide practices.

Walmart president and CEO Doug McMillon noticed something about his company that few executives have the foresight to observe in real time: the company lacked the ability to identify marketing arbitrage. It wasn’t in Walmart’s DNA, their methods were proven and stale. Their systems were working as designed and there wasn’t a reason to stray away from what was.

That is what’s typical in retail. A brand or retailer identifies one advantage and rides it into the sunset, failing to innovate. Walmart chose a different approach made famous by Gilded Age tycoons like John D. Rockefeller, who once quipped:

If you want to succeed you should strike out on new paths, rather than travel the worn paths of accepted success.

It only took CEO Doug McMillon two years to move on his mandate to modernize Walmart. Prior to the McMillon-approved “Marc Lore era,” Walmart was a mass-market, bargain-focused physical retailer with little emphasis on eCommerce and technology, nor a grasp on modern principles of brand equity development.

So what did Walmart do? It acquired the DNA of innovation. First with Lore, then with Andy Dunn, and then with countless acquisitions of a particular type. The acquired companies shared a few traits: they maintained an understanding of internet-first brand development, they had a grasp on acquisition through Facebook PPC, they maintained New York PR connections, and they were comfortable seeking out arbitrage opportunities when they could.

Walmart’s eCommerce era began with a string of major acquisitions, including the largest in eCommerce history at $3.3 billion for Jet.com. The Jet.com acquisition was brilliant in retrospect. As a result of that investment, Walmart is still moving up and to the right despite the many forces opposing forward motion. In fact, it thrives today because of its DNA implantation. So much so that it’s leaving what remains of that talent and perspective injection behind. This is how I see the offloading of its last few digitally native vertical brands.

Walmart has been sharpening its focus on ramping up its businesses including advertising and delivery, to diversify its revenue streams and boost margins as inflationary pressures on consumer spending weigh on the retailer. (Yahoo!)

The recent fire sale of Eloquii and Bonobos (preceded by the offloading of MooseJaw and ModCloth) was no shock. Walmart has tremendous resources at its disposal. But with the temperature of today’s market, there are novel ways to drive revenue and grow average margin across a portfolio of goods and services that no longer require managing a group of acquired brands. It made sense to acquire direct-to-consumer brands when its original marketing arbitrage was Facebook PPC. That strategy no longer plays; today’s revenue arbitrage for mass-market retailers and smarter brands looks different than it had just five years ago.

The store count peaked in 2019 while new forms of revenue emerged. However, the stock is trading near all-time highs.

Walmart is a retail media network, it’s an omnichannel titan, it’s a recurring revenue magnet, a private label factory, an enviable marketplace. It’s a modern eCommerce corporation. Who needs low-margin brands like Bonobos when these other fundamentals are in place?

Walmart is on a path to strengthening its global omni-channel ecosystem and scaling higher-margin value streams that serve customers and businesses and are natural connectors to its retail business. This includes advertising, data, memberships and marketplace – all initiatives that will help deliver a better customer and member experience while driving stronger returns.

Many analysts suggest that Q3 of 2023 will be a bloodbath for low-margin retailers, you will find a number of similarities between the companies that will fail to extend their financing or secure profitability in time for tougher market conditions. The measure of success is different than it was pre-pandemic. Gone are the days of rewarding growth without unit economics. Growth? No. Top line revenue? No. Good margin and proper, sustainable unit economics? Yes, these are the companies that will move forward. But the deeper question will be, did these retailers maintain the DNA of innovation throughout its growth curve? The answer, more often than not, will be no.

The end of Facebook PPC as an arbitrage opportunity for direct-to-consumer brands signified a turning point in the digital marketing landscape. Some brands adapted and some did not. Many brands continue to squeeze the remaining value out of the arbitrage that I suppose was thought to be a permanent fixture. It never is. As such, some pivoted to physical retail, omnichannel distribution, or accumulated like-minded products into a native marketplace. Even more so, others went all-in on retail media networks or building linear commerce strategies.

The DNA of innovation was the lifeblood of the pure DTC era. This is what Walmart was buying: the DNA of change. The masters of the craft were successful in identifying arbitrage opportunity after arbitrage opportunity; they molded their companies around it. As a result, Walmart thrived as a multi-faceted retailer.

Walmart’s strength in eCommerce can be seen in its results. Walmart’s US eCommerce sales were up 79% in 2020 and were up 11.0% in 2021 on the back of strong growth in the prior year. Then in 2022 Walmart’s eCommerce sales were up 12%. Walmart is now the second largest eCommerce retailer in the United States with eCommerce making up over 13% of its sales. While Walmart trails Amazon by a wide margin in online sales Walmart is gaining ground. (Indigo Digital)

Brands must now adapt and evolve their marketing strategies to stay ahead of the curve. By embracing platform diversification, investing in content marketing, leveraging data and analytics, and focusing on customer experience, DTC brands can thrive in this new era of digital marketing. DTC companies were founded with the hope of growing independently of America’s largest retail marketplaces but retail media networks like Amazon’s, Target’s, and Walmart’s have already begun to contribute to many of these same brands, setting aside idealism for growth. Amazon is already a top-three advertiser with Facebook’s current ad model degrading by the quarter. Walmart is well on its way to becoming a force in advertising:

Walmart’s online advertising business is a fraction the size of Amazon’s. But here, too, Walmart has an advantage because it can provide brands with data on how shoppers spend not just online but also in stores, said Sreenath Reddy, the founder and CEO of Intentwise, which helps clients place ads on web marketplaces. Walmart.com is also less crowded than Amazon.com, with about 135,000 merchants compared with some 2 million on Amazon. (Digital Commerce 360)

As the digital landscape continues to change, it is crucial for brands to be nimble and open to exploring new avenues for growth. Those who can effectively navigate these shifts and seize new opportunities will be well-positioned for success in the increasingly competitive online marketplace. The end of one arbitrage opportunity may be a challenge, but it also offers an opportunity for DTC brands to innovate, differentiate themselves, and establish a lasting connection with their customers in the ever-evolving world of digital marketing.

Sam Walton was known for his innovative and customer-focused mindset, and was always seeking new ways to gain a competitive edge. He would have been a fan of Walmart’s focus on retail media networks. Why? Enhanced customer experience, data-driven decisions, new revenue streams, and building deeper relationships with suppliers. Walton valued strong relationships with retail partners, as they were essential to his low-cost, high-value business model.

Sometimes, gaining a competitive edge means letting go of the tried and true methods that defined earlier versions of your business. And then finding better, newer methods.

作者:Web Smith | 编辑:Hilary Milnes,美术:Alex Remy 和 Christina Williams