No. 284: Not Just For Publishers

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A frame from: Fullsterkur (full strength), a Rogue film debut on Youtube – August 26

Between the months of May and July, 5.75 million consumers visited an online retailer that strength and conditioning enthusiasts know as Rogue (No. 11 DNVB). And that’s just the Ohio company’s American site; the company also operates out of Canada, Europe, and Australia. Every SKU sold has been through their native eCommerce channels. They’ve quietly and successfully competed with the old guard of strength and conditioning while holding off well-known retailers like Sports Authority (RIP), Dick’s, and Academy Sports.

It’s quite the operation with an astounding number of online visitors for a company that you’ll rarely hear about. And from what I know about Bill and Caity Henniger, that’s fine by them. The company is eleven years old now, operating out of a single 650,000 square foot installation. Rogue employs over 500 people: from front end development to welding. And, anecdotally at least, the company seems stronger than ever.

There’s very little tech media and pop business notoriety for Rogue but, it suits the company just fine. They’re a well-oiled machine, from what I know. And machines don’t really need the affirmation of public relations mentions. They’re so quiet that, if you want a list of venture capitalists that track them (out of admiration), it’s GGV’s Jeff Richards and Indie.vc‘s Bryce Roberts. And, for the record, Rogue is where I cut my teeth in the sophisticated world of online customer acquisition. Back then, it was just Google SEM, Facebook spend, and daily ROI audits.

Today, for retailers, that’s not enough to efficiently grow a business. CAC is rising, knock offs are abound. And Amazon, Alibaba, and the industry seem to alter the battlefield quarterly,

There’s a point of diminishing return in brand-first eCommerce. At some point, you have to begin to think outside of the box or sales begin to slow, awareness tanks, and the old guard regains their footing against your early years’ momentum. This is the story facing numerous brands across consumer packaged goods (CPG), digitally vertical native brands (DNVB), and marketplaces. But there aren’t many companies in America operating at the level of complexity that Rogue seems to be.

For brands looking at how to navigate Porter’s Five Forces, look no further. It’s the basic understanding of positioning, competition, and other market forces that influence the best and brightest leaders throughout the eCommerce landscape. Not only is the company forward-thinking in manufacturing IP, tech development (in-app, one-click purchasing), and marketing (Youtube is now 21% of all organic social traffic). They seem to understand that for many consumers, there is an important question: “Will a brand be around in ten years?” The answer lies here: “Well, are they respected? Is their product an institution?” The last two questions will determine the answer of the first.

Rogue is quickly becoming an institution. This latest production, live streamed on a Sunday night, was a great introduction to a project that they’ve been working on for years: The Index. For the casual industry observer, it’s a content x commerce play. And it is. But deeper than that, it’s a bridge. You can watch, through the evolution of their videos and academic archives, as Rogue became more and more respected by those at the top of their crafts.


Issue No. 267: On DNVB Branding

For heritage brands, presenting an aura of staying power means that the products and channels will present as forward-thinking for a millennial-driven, omni-channel age.

Enquanto isso, as marcas verticais trabalham para estabelecer seus produtos como uma evolução dos produtos tradicionais, mantendo o máximo possível de suas vantagens tecnológicas. Para as marcas digitalmente verticais, a longevidade é projetada por meio da vinculação à história e à tradição.

A próxima onda de branding da DNVB se concentrará no desenvolvimento da história e da tradição. As marcas aprofundarão suas raízes por meio de colaborações de produtos, mensagens e histórias de origem exclusivas.


The film was impressive. Directed by a talented videographer named Todd Sansom, who’s been there forever, the film was executive produced by the owners of the company, and influenced by their closest peers. It was a passion project as much as it was a way to address how buyers decide and consume on the internet today.

Content and commerce isn’t just for publishers anymore. And quiet old Rogue, is at the leading edge. The ability to reach new consumers by becoming a destination for their enrichment is often theorized but rarely executed by eCommerce brands. While some go for virality, this is not the intent here. The latest film is part of a collection that draws you in. And while I may be biased here, it works. Rogue’s equipment isn’t exactly inexpensive compared to foreign manufacturers or bargain options, stateside. But for tens of thousands of people who run, jump, and lift – Rogue is their source. Not only for products but for inspiration, education, and the great examples of strength’s golden era. By the time that visitors conclude their rabbit hole viewing of content, they’re reminded that there are tools, apparel, and heavy equipment available to them by freight or overnight mail, depending on the tonnage sold.

Update: Rogue’s Fullsterkur film has garnered critical praise. It is being screened at the Austin Film Festival as a Marquee feature. Per Rogue’s online store:

The Austin Film Festival & Writers Conference (AFF) is the premier film festival recognizing the writers’ contributions to film, television, and new media. The festival is marking its 25th Anniversary in 2018, with a packed schedule of screenings, panels and other events taking place from October 25 through November 1. Among the other Marquee Features joining Fullsterkur on the schedule will be Gillian Flynn and Steve McQueen’s new thriller Widows, Mike Leigh’s period piece Peterloo, the Mickey Rourke-starring boxing drama Tiger, and Paul Dano’s Wildlife, starring Jake Gyllenhaal and Carey Mulligan.

The film will show at the Austin Film Festival on October 30 at 4:30 PM Central. The 90 minute film was broadcast live, where it was viewed 4.1 million times on Facebook and has been watched over 270,000 times on Youtube.

Read more of Issue 284 here.

By Web Smith | Edited by Meghan Terwilliger | About 2PM

No. 283: Navigating DNVB Growth Dependency

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With very few exceptions, a digitally vertical native brand (DNVB) that succeeds over the long term will have command over three core components. To CMO-level operators, these core components develop a virtuous sales cycle. The top brands: foster organic (word of mouth) community, convert social following into revenue, and optimize performance marketing spend.

But there are hazards to consider, especially when balance isn’t a priority for a brand. When a DNVB depends too heavily on one of the three components, growth will stall. In an upcoming report commissioned by 2PM and Common Thread Collective, the firm’s Managing Partner Taylor Holiday and I discuss the limits of a DNVB’s proverbial adolescent years.

The teenage years: from start to the end of a brand’s natural growth.

It’s how brands position themselves for the next phase of growth that separates them from their competitors. For brands, the teenage years can look different. Here are three cases:

  1. Dependency: grassroots community. An online kitchenware brand has a coveted, quarterly brochure. The production of the brochure is 60% of all marketing spend. Historically, it has converted well. Sales have begun to stall as fresh entrants eat away at their grassroots awareness by spending heavily on performance marketing. Rather than competing to amplify their sales through social channels and performance marketing, they spend more on the next quarter’s brochure. This exacerbates the problem and opens them to more of an issue once brochure sales falter.
  2. Dependency: performance marketing. An online dress shirt brand builds a strategy around Facebook marketing. They hyper target potential customers and reach them again and again. But the cost per thousand (CPM) for DNVB advertising has risen 50% per year over the last three years. It’s not sustainable and as such, the brand begins to lose to competing brands with word-of-mouth influence and great social capital.
  3. Dependency: social. A CPG beauty brand is backed by a high-powered celebrity. Each instagram post generates 100,000 clicks to the brand’s site and sales are nearly automatic to the tune of a 7% conversion rate. But Instagram’s algorithm changes to deemphasize promotional posts that aren’t run through Facebook’s ad server. Traffic decreases and there is no performance marketing system in place.

For DNVBs, it’s often easier to stick with what works at the expense of missing out on efficient, long term growth. In a recent article on eCommerce innovation and DNVBs, Internet Retailer’s James Risley got something completely wrong.

DNVBs’ ability to create unique products and connect with niche audiences insulates them from some competition with Amazon.com Inc. (No. 1) and other big retailers. And the direct-to-consumer model keeps prices down as well, making their unique wears more affordable to the niche or mass-market audience they want to draw.

Brands are not at all insulated. In fact, you’re beginning to see well-funded startups and brand conglomerates go after early-stage retailers even earlier, these days. When direct to consumer shoe brand Atoms launched, Allbirds immediately went on the offensive. And fashion retailers, including Stitch Fix, were met with opposition very early on.

Amazon has launched their version of nearly every product offering on the market. Brands don’t win by insulating themselves. Quite the opposite, they succeed by branching into new channels and reaching the customers that are adjacent to their most passionate advocates. Eventually every DNVB faces the incumbent, but first they have to get out of their own way.

To leave adolescence behind, diversification is often a necessity. There are several brands who’ve successfully navigated brand adolescence:

Originally (and passionately) online-only, Warby Parker began opening up retail locations to influence customers who were hesitant to purchase without touching the product.

Though Harry’s was competing with Gillette by marketing directly to consumers and getting to customers before they made it to stores, the razor brand eventually partnered with Target stores to compete with Gillette head to head.

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Sunset Plaza on January 5, 2018.

Rihanna’s Fenty Beauty is driven by the superstar’s social following. However, to reach new potential customers, she began paying for traditional advertising in major cities. This allowed her to back off promoting the product so often through her primary channel – Instagram.

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Facebook’s % growth in CPM (Cost Per Mille)

For C-Suite level marketers, there is a three-part operational exercise that can go a long way in identifying best practices for a DNVB’s demand generation program.

  1. Identify the most important variables that drive your brand’s success.
  2. Collect and interpret data from a range of market research materials to better evaluate marketing mix strategies.
  3. Develop marketing recommendations that are fact-based and free of inference.

Diversification, within reason, is often the outcome of this exercise. To move beyond the early days of a brand’s growth, it is necessary to meet potential customers half way. This means reinvesting in new marketing verticals is a worthwhile strategy. Advantage goes to the brands that see this and act on it before the market makes the decision for them.

Read more of Issue No. 283.

By Web Smith | Edited by Meghan Terwilliger | About 2PM

Nº 282: O problema de CPG do Instagram

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Na foto: Cannuka, uma marca de beleza baseada em CBD de Ohio

Imagine lançar uma marca de produtos de consumo. Você gasta as economias de sua vida no desenvolvimento do produto. Você acerta em cheio na marca e na embalagem. Você organiza a distribuição e contrata uma agência de marketing para transmitir sua mensagem. Só que a estratégia se baseia muito nos tipos de compra de mídia e marketing de influência normalmente empregados por outros no espaço DNVB / CPG - e o Facebook não coopera.

O CBD, abreviação de canabidiol, está crescendo em popularidade entre os consumidores de produtos de beleza e saúde. É uma substância sem THC conhecida por tratar de tudo, desde alívio muscular até insônia. Em junho, o primeiro medicamento à base de CBD foi aprovado pela FDA para tratamento de epilepsia. E, no que se refere a este artigo, o CBD tem aparecido em produtos de cuidados com a pele de alta qualidade. Mas as regras do Facebook e do Instagram têm sido irregulares, na melhor das hipóteses, e isso está causando um grande problema no espaço CPG. Ele se enquadra na categoria de conteúdo proibido do Facebook.

Portanto, quando conheci Michael Bumgarner, cofundador da Cannuka, fiquei surpreso ao saber que ele estava entrando em conflito com a política de conteúdo proibido do Facebook. Isso, apesar de ele vender um produto sem THC que poderia ser vendido em sites como o Popsugar. " Eles reconhecem que temos um produto 100% legal, mas ainda não nos permitem publicar anúncios", disse ele em uma entrevista recente a Carrie Ghose, do Business Journals.

Embora a imparcialidade seja uma questão completamente diferente, há de fato um motivo válido pelo qual o Facebook posicionou a plataforma para proibir produtos à base de CBD como uma categoria: falta de regulamentação. Embora o Facebook seja sempre alvo de críticas pelo pouco policiamento da validade de notícias e fofocas, ele mantém uma oposição a produtos não regulamentados (suplementos, etc.).

O CBD nos cuidados com a pele do consumidor ainda é um pouco como o Velho Oeste. Um estudo publicado no Journal of the American Medical Association descobriu uma rotulagem errônea generalizada de produtos de CBD vendidos on-line. "O problema é que não há nenhum estudo que indique a dose adequada", diz Bíró. Jacknin também adverte que "neste momento, os produtos de CBD e maconha não são totalmente regulamentados e os ingredientes no frasco não precisam ser os mesmos da embalagem porque ninguém está verificando".

Karen Adelson | The Strategist 

No entanto, foi a qualidade da Cannuka em um setor de produtos com rótulos errados e vendedores duvidosos que permitiu que a empresa alcançasse tração nacional e um investimento inicial de US$ 750.000. Apesar de um impulso progressivo em todo o país em relação aos derivados 100% legais da maconha, o Facebook (e o Instagram) ficaram para trás nesse aspecto. Será que eles vão reconsiderar a forma como influenciam o destino das empresas de CPG?

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Foto: Cortesia de Dirty Lemon

A marca de bebidas CPG "Dirty Lemon" teve uma experiência completamente oposta, apesar da dinâmica e da origem semelhantes do produto. Com mais de 101.000 seguidores no Instagram e o apoio de vários influenciadores, a marca de bebidas obteve sucesso ao usar o Facebook e o Instagram como um canal de aquisição.

A poção - que é adequada para combater a ansiedade, difundir o estresse, diminuir as dores musculares e nas articulações, acalmar a acne e melhorar a qualidade do sono - inclui 20 miligramas de canabidiol de espectro total, proveniente da marca de cannabis de luxo BEBOE; óleo de cânhamo puro; e uma mistura de sucos de abacaxi, laranja sanguínea e tangerina (descaradamente chamada de "mistura expressa de abacaxi"). Obviamente, os suspeitos habituais do Dirty Lemon também estão incluídos: água filtrada, suco de limão puro, minerais do oceano, sal marinho rosa do Himalaia, Luo Han Guo e L-teanina.

Kells McPhillips | Well and Good

Embora as marcas tenham várias semelhanças, é a abordagem de marketing que parece estar fazendo a diferença no relacionamento entre a marca e o Facebook. Priya Rao, da Glossy, relata:

No final de junho, a Dirty Lemon lançou pela primeira vez uma nova bebida no Instagram Stories e pediu à sua comunidade que adivinhasse o ingrediente mais recente da empresa em troca de uma caixa de bebidas grátis. [...] Até o momento, o lançamento do +CBD [da Dirty Lemon] em julho foi o mais forte da empresa. A Dirty Lemon esgotou sua primeira produção, que é de aproximadamente 20.000 garrafas, em dois dias, e havia uma lista de espera até a semana passada. Todas as bebidas da Dirty Lemon são vendidas em caixas de seis garrafas e enviadas para as casas dos clientes por US$ 65.

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Um número impressionante de 66% do tráfego de referência em julho foi obtido por meio dos canais pagos do Yahoo.com , enquanto a conversa no Facebook gerou quase 8% do tráfego de referência via FB Messenger. Embora a Dirty Lemon tenha evitado a publicidade tradicional no Instagram, suas histórias no Instagram geraram o tráfego mais "direto": 27%. A plataforma de histórias do IG parece ser onde eles mais frequentemente misturam a promoção orgânica com a promoção do influenciador (paga). A ambiguidade está servindo bem a eles. E a recompensa pode valer bilhões.

Os dados

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Estimativa de crescimento dos produtos de CBD
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Receita estimada de produtos à base de CBD (em milhões)

É importante acompanhar o setor de CPG impulsionado pela cannabis. Não apenas por causa do crescimento estimado para os próximos quatro anos, mas porque é uma das poucas empresas baseadas em produtos que parecem estar navegando pelas últimas regras arcaicas de publicidade do Facebook. O sistema de publicidade do Facebook está carecendo de objetividade e consistência. Ele está acelerando algumas startups de CPG e deixando outras para trás.

Leia mais sobre a edição 282 aqui.

Por Web Smith | About 2PM