No. 262: Next Two Years | Part Two

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The past is prologue, or so they say. While Part One (see 6-10 here) focused on the great stories of the last two years, Part Two focuses on what can happen within the next two years.

5. A 2PM “Top 50” Shopify retailer will acquire its eCommerce agency.

Somewhere a founder is saying, “Wait, we can do that?” And for a small handful, it can make sense. This simple question may persuade a top 50 retailer (see database here) to acquire their go-to eCommerce agency. There is a particular type of brand that this would make sense for. Here are the qualifiers. The digitally vertical native brand:

  • has a trusting and transparent relationship with their agency.
  • is focused on building the brand before the thought of hiring engineers
  • has founders with a non-technical background
  • is a company that does not employ an existing CTO
  • is a brand is doing $20M+ in online retail

The relationship between Glossier and Dynamo stretches back to when the beauty brand was first founded. In 2014, Dynamo took on Glossier as a client, helping to launch the brand in the U.S., developing its website and eCommerce platform and acting as what agency co-founder Bryan Mahoney called its “in-house tech department” in a post on the brand’s “Into The Gloss” blog in 2016. After helping to launch Glossier, Mahoney moved to New York to become its VP of engineering. Following the acquisition, Mahoney has been named CTO at Glossier.

Josh Kolm, Glossier Acquires Dynamo

4. Walmart will acquire another DNVB by the end of 2018.

Let’s face it, selling to Walmart is no longer a substandard exit. There’s a coolness factor at Walmart, these days. In the new commerce economy, it’s something to be proud of. Whether it is Outdoor Voices (no. 76), Eloquii (No. 42), Homage (no. 75) or Bevel (no. 79), I expect Walmart to drill down on their mission to attract more millennial consumers to the brand. These were just four of the brands that could make great sense for Marc Lore’s acquisition machine.


From Member Brief No. 5.

According to eCommerce CEO Marc Lore, Walmart continues to search for M&A opportunities that differentiate its online offering and attract millennial shoppers. He added that the company is “definitely still in acquisition mode,” and the acquiring of specialty brands can “help us get the fundamentals right” on both Walmart and Jet.com. He noted that future acquisitions will range from $50M – $300M.


3. Google wants to compete against Amazon.

Brands just want commerce to be easy for them, what’s adding one more node to the omni-channel operation. Google Shopping Action is a service by Alphabet that could be the answer to the shopping simplicity that Amazon has trademarked. Google’s understanding of the online retail consumer may be superior to Amazon’s. And this is good news for the search engine’s collective of launch partners.

[Google Shopping Action] has partnered with major retailers like Ulta Beauty, Target and Walmart by allowing them to list their products across Google search through the Google Express shopping service.

“The consumer is much more demanding,” said Daniel Alegre, President of Retail and Shopping Global at Google at ShopTalk. “In their minds they expect Google to understand the question really well and know so much more.”

Google Shopping Actions features a universal shopping cart and instant checkout with saved payment credentials across Google.com and Google Assistant. It enables one-click re-ordering, personalized recommendations and basket-building based on a customer’s purchase history and loyalty.

Daniela Forte, Multi Channel Merchant


From Member Brief No. 5.

Google to let users buy directly from search results. In what seems like somewhat of a competition with platforms like Shopify, Shopping Actions is a new Google feature which allows users to purchase items directly from search results.

  • Retailers can list their products on Google search, the Google Express shopping service, and Google Assistant on home devices and mobile.
  • Google provides a universal shopping cart across platforms
  • Shoppers can save their payment credentials and make purchases from retailers with instant checkout.
  • Google charges retailers a cost-per-sale fee.

2. Apple Pay becomes the new one-click.

The ad wasn’t well received but the technology has been. With online retail shifting from desktop to mobile, faster than ever, Apple Pay is vying to become the go-to ‘face’ for many of the growing number of vendors that are pursuing mobile-first strategies.

Here is the problem that Shopify is hoping to solve with their bet on Apple Pay for online retail:

A general manager of financial services at Shopify, told Karen Webster in a recent conversation, is that the checkout experience “is a weird three-page mess that really hasn’t evolved over the now almost three decades people have been shopping online.”

Granted, the UX has gotten a bit nicer, and some streamlining efforts have been baked in, but at its base, Hashemi noted that it’s the same bad experience: The customer has to enter their shipping data, billing data and card information “over and over again, and multiple properties.” “This is a checkout process that just desperately needs to go away,” Hashemi stated.

Pymnts.com

1. Spotify will release a hardware collaboration by the end of 2018.

Screenshot_2018_02_20_12.02.37Spotify benefits from its platform agnosticism. If you try hard enough, you can use their service on any hardware device. That doesn’t mean that they aren’t experiencing hardware drama that could stall an IPO. If you ask your Alexa to play a song, it will use the Amazon Music service by default. If you ask Siri on HomePod, it will use Apple Music. If you ask Google Home, it will default to Google Play. Needless to say, Spotify has read the writing on the wall. The streaming service is afraid of being completely cutoff from the hardware ecosystem and will likely land a hardware deal with an incumbent speaker manufacturer by the end of Q3 2018.

Spotify wouldn’t necessarily need to build its own audio equipment from the ground up. The music app could instead partner with an established speaker maker like Bose on such a product. If this were the case, Spotify would have a hardware product where its services are at the forefront instead of an afterthought. Meanwhile, its hardware partner—a company similarly being left out of the smart speaker conversation—would have an additional avenue to compete against products by Amazon, Google, and Apple.

Christina Bonnington, Slate

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By Web Smith | Web@2pml.com | @2PMLinks 

 

第 259 期沃尔玛的下一次收购

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上周末,2PM 发布了第一份执行委员简报。在一份名为《沃尔玛与亚马逊电子商务》的深度报告中,它涵盖了相当多的内容。 沃尔玛风险投资.


下面是一小段摘录:

沃尔玛和亚马逊之间的竞争从未如此激烈。消费主义一直都是以 "心 "为中心的,直到亚马逊让它变得以效率和逻辑为中心。但是,对于像穿什么、睡什么这样私密的物品,逻辑就足够了吗?

沃尔玛通过注重品牌亲和力、代表性和重振消费者信心,再次将赌注押在了消费者的心上。以电子商务为矛头,他们的实体店也将随之革新。


我倾向于相信马克-洛尔对现代沃尔玛的愿景,这已经不是什么秘密了。在我最近的报告中,我重点介绍了沃尔玛通过收购 DNVB(Modcloth、Moosejaw、Bonobos 等)实现品牌资产增长的情况。2PM执行成员泰勒-哈乐迪(Taylor Holiday)向我指出了这一点:

一如既往的精彩,Web。这篇文章略微忽略了我的一个问题,那就是物流能力。您简要地谈到了亚马逊所注重的便利性因素,我想知道沃尔玛将如何与之抗衡?我认为超级超级有趣的事情是,沃尔玛可以将 DNVB 风格的华而不实的品牌发布与物流超级大国的便利性结合起来。想象一下,Allswell 式的品牌与当日送达相结合。这将会非常有趣。

泰勒-霍利迪,Common Thread管理合伙人

在我的报告中,我提供了两张表格:(1)沃尔玛现有的收购;(2)沃尔玛的目标收购。对于泰勒的观点,在讨论沃尔玛对收购性感的 DNVB(或从头开始建设)的胃口时,很容易忽略他们还收购了Parcel(2017 年)。沃尔玛正在努力打造物流超级大国。如果他们不能完成这项工作,另一项 10 亿美元以上的收购也即将开始。

沃尔玛收购 Parcel: 

纽约市是 Jet 和 Walmart.com 的顶级市场,由于该地区人口密集,而且离我们的履约中心很近,因此是进行高效创新的理想之地。Parcel 在纽约土生土长,在这个极具挑战性的重要市场中积累了为客户送货的独特专长。此次收购使我们能够继续测试在降低运营成本的同时提供快速递送服务的方法。我们计划利用 Parcel 为纽约市的客户提供最后一英里配送服务(包括当日送达),包括一般商品以及沃尔玛和 Jet 的新鲜和冷冻食品杂货。

昨晚的奥斯卡颁奖典礼进一步证明了沃尔玛高层对物流的重视。

每个 60 秒广告的主角都与沃尔玛目前的广告活动相同--零售商标志性的蓝色装运箱--这也是沃尔玛在电子商务领域追赶亚马逊的企业优先事项。 

Jack Neff,AdAge

如果让我预测沃尔玛的作战室战略,我想到的是收购Postmates。在全国范围内,Postmates 是最值得信赖的 "最后一英里"平台之一,而且它已经证明可以在美国许多最大的市场运营。再加上该公司最近对杂货配送的重视,你会发现它有很多共同的优点。沃尔玛的食品杂货业务是其重中之重。

假设 Parcel 的收购是一次测试,那么 Postmates 的收购可能会成为沃尔玛单一市场实验的受益者。在DoorDash 最近获得 5.35 亿美元融资后,这次收购对足智多谋的巴斯蒂-莱曼(Basti Lehmann)和公司来说很有意义。而且这次收购也在沃尔玛的价格范围之内。呼叫马克-罗尔。

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