Memo: The End of Conglomeration

Monopoly is not a suitable term for what Amazon is in the process of accomplishing. A monopoly is defined as the exclusive possession or control of the supply or trade in a commodity or service. There is no term for a corporation becoming the supply or the trade.

I am not anti-Amazon but it’s becoming easier to see how this current administration could bend precedent to break up a web-based conglomerate.

Amazon is the titan of twenty-first century commerce. In addition to being a retailer, it is now a marketing platform, a delivery and logistics network, a payment service, a credit lender, an auction house, a major book publisher, a producer of television and films, a fashion designer, a hardware manufacturer, and a leading host of cloud server space.

Yale Law Journal: Lina M. Khan, Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox

Amazon is trading at near all-time highs, with a market cap in excess of $700B. Historically, Wall Street investors and consumers have been tremendous fans of Amazon, Main Street businesses have not. This is an important distinction.

Until the 1970’s and 80’s, antitrust litigation has focused on structuralism: a focus on relationships of contrast between elements in a conceptual system that reflect patterns underlying a superficial diversity. 

After Reagan’s Antitrust Explosion of 1982, elements of the law began to shift from structuralism and toward consumer welfare. That year, AT&T and IBM faced antitrust litigation that forced changes in each company by 1984. As you know, Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Prime have helped the public company to minimize losses. Thus far, Amazon has been immune to consumer welfare pressures. Due to the successes of AWS and Prime subscriptions, the direct-to-consumer side of the business has operated as a relative loss leader. As Yale Law Journal’s Linda Khan pointed out, this loss leading metric has blinded regulators to the hazards of Amazon’s business strategy.

[My] analysis reveals that the current framework in antitrust—specifically its equating competition with “consumer welfare,” typically measured through short-term effects on price and output—fails to capture the architecture of market power in the twenty-first century marketplace. In other words, the potential harms to competition posed by Amazon’s dominance are not cognizable if we assess competition primarily through price and output. Focusing on these metrics instead blinds us to the potential hazards.

Yale Law Journal: Lina M. Khan, Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox

The 1982 antitrust guidelines introduced by Reagan and his administration set a meaningful departure from ninety years of legal precedent; these guidelines were re-emphasized in 1968. The actions of the Reagan administration in 1982 reflected a new focus. Lina Khan went on to say: “The law against vertical mergers is merely a law against the creation of efficiency.” With the election of President Reagan, this view of vertical integration became national policy. This has been known as the Chicago School approach.


The Chicago School approach to antitrust, which gained mainstream prominence and credibility in the 1970s and 1980s, rejected the structuralist view. In the words of Richard Posner, the essence of the Chicago School position is that “the proper lens for viewing antitrust problems is price theory.”


To pursue an Amazon antitrust case, President Trump will have to reverse the revered national policy of the Reagan Justice Department. It can be implied that the Reagan administration’s shift from structuralism and towards price theory was meant to emphasize middle-class consumerism. But no one could have foreseen Amazon’s role in building a modern monopoly over America’s consumer web. Frankly, their version of a monopoly is altogether different. Here is an illustration for you:

The 4% / 43% figure doesn’t begin to tell the story. No one could have predicted how effective an internet-based conglomeration could be. Or the impact that Amazon’s sales could have on commercial real estate woes. Or how Amazon lobbies for potentially detrimental state / local tax benefits. Around the country, real estate brokers are in a panic as warehouse / office park leasing have fallen off a cliff. In addition, Amazon’s HQ2 campaign is leading to a growing criticism from those who believe that Amazon may have too many tax and cost benefits and at the peril of middle-class workers and retail entrepreneurs.

Trump’s deep-seated antipathy toward Amazon surfaces when discussing tax policy and antitrust cases. The president would love to clip CEO Jeff Bezos’ wings. But he doesn’t have a plan to make that happen.

Jonathan Swan, Axios

亚马逊建立业务的信念是,只要消费者价格低廉,反垄断法就不适用。琳娜-汗接着说:"由于 20 世纪 70 年代和 80 年代法律思想和实践的变化,反垄断法现在对竞争的评估主要着眼于消费者的短期利益,而不是生产者或整个市场的健康状况;反垄断理论认为,消费者的低价格本身就是良性竞争的证据"。

The health of the retail sector has been on decline for quite some time. Retail business owners, real estate brokers, lenders, and commercial developers didn’t foresee how much of an effect Amazon and eCommerce would have on their adjacent sectors. Where there was originally confusion and apathy, there is now a shared disdain for the Seattle eCommerce giant. Main Street business owners, politicians and pundits have taken notice. And this is the audience to whom President Trump speaks.

Under the current interpretation of antitrust laws, Amazon seems to be getting a free pass. So I should say that antitrust laws in, their current state, don’t prohibit conglomeration. They don’t prohibit a single company from being involved in all these different lines of business. But what they are supposed to prevent is a company that enjoys a dominant footprint in one area of the market, using that footprint to leverage its way into other markets, and so I think that’s the area where Amazon potentially should be facing scrutiny.

From Korva Coleman’s interview of Lina M. Khan, NPR

In 1890, the father of the Sherman Act, Mr. John Sherman (R-OH) stood on the floor of the Senate and declared the following:

If we will not endure a king as a political power, we should not endure a king over the production, transportation, and sale of any of the necessities of life. If we would not submit to an emperor, we should not submit to an autocrat of trade, with power to prevent competition and to fix the price of any commodity.

When the gentleman from Ohio made this statement, he couldn’t envision a future where one man presided over a corporation responsible for a great deal of production, transportation, and the sale of any necessities of life. Sherman also couldn’t envision the internet, a virtual destination void of political governance or etiquette. Amazon’s strategy continues to be the forging of an antitrust-proof conglomeration – loved by consumers and feared by both incumbents and challengers.

Antitrust law is overdue for change. The language no longer matches the time. And while Amazon may not be the most deserving of this scrutiny, they are the most likely target.

The laws will change to address the modern day concerns of retailers, logistics networks, newspaper publishers, ad firms, shipping companies, grocers, auction houses, book publishers, movie studios, software companies, hardware manufacturers, credit lenders, payment services, and internet service providers. In our modern American economy, any business that touches the internet has been affected by Amazon.

Bezos is aiming to possess the entire board upon which a monopoly can be formed  — the consumer internet. And populist politicians may eventually conclude that no corporation should be able to own the consumer internet. But for now, Amazon has every advantage.

Report By Web Smith | About 2PM

成员简报 3:注意力堆栈

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数据:第 257 期中,2PM 介绍了我见过的点击率最高的白皮书之一。在第 142 页的介绍中,深藏着一个宣言,电子商务公司和垂直品牌应该时常牢记。

第一方数据是目标,而第一方数据反过来又会推动更多的收益。

本会员简报专为以下人士设计 执行委员为了方便加入,您可以点击下面的链接,获取数百份报告、我们的 DTC 权力清单和其他工具,帮助您做出高水平的决策。

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第 253 期七个应该为亚马逊加油的城市居民

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亚马逊的 HQ2 竞选活动是对您个人政治立场的罗夏克测试。但正如政治中的任何事物一样,总是会有好的一面伴随着坏的一面,反之亦然。以下是美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)最近发表的一篇政策文章对亚马逊 HQ2 竞选中令人不安的部分的看法:

但是,亚马逊的 HQ2 竞标中有一个环节令人深感不安,那就是让城市与城市之间为税收和其他激励措施展开一场浪费严重、经济效益低下的竞标战。作为全球最有价值的公司之一,亚马逊不需要也不应该追逐纳税人的钱,这些钱可以更好地用于学校、公园、交通、住房或其他急需的公共产品。

也许这其中有道理。但是,在接受其中一个城市将成为拥有 5 万个新工作岗位、平均工资约为 10 万美元的城市的同时,也要考虑到巨大的积极因素。以下是你认识的七个会喜欢 HQ2 落户他们城市的人:

城市房主面对现实,亚马逊很可能会搬到一个住房市场价格合理但又不断升值的地区。随着中上阶层房主的涌入,以及为支持成千上万的白领专业人士而对城市进行的投资,这些人的住房也将升值。

住宅开发商| 我们都认识一个人,她整天在治安官拍卖会上购买废弃的多单元房,然后将其改造成每月 2000 美元的出租房。如果这位朋友能找到现金流,她的生意就会扩大不少。

城市所得税部门负责人| 这个不言自明。工资超过 10 万美元的人对发展中的城市非常重要,因为这些市民不太可能收到纳税申报单。这些人口的涌入意味着有更多的资金可用于基础设施建设。

该地区的 MLS 球队老板 |三大体育项目很少出现经济危机。但对于美国职业足球大联盟俱乐部来说,增加数百甚至数千名新的季票持有者和普通球迷可以使他们的投资更加可行。

独立学校的精英管理者| 随着城市化的发展,一个严峻的现实摆在面前:大多数城市的学校教育系统都在失败。而在排名前 20 的城市中,大部分特许学校的情况也没好到哪里去。考虑到千禧一代的人口结构,有孩子的人很可能会投资私立学校教育。

当地州立学校的大学毕业生| 祝贺这位年轻人增加了他们一毕业就找到出色技术工作的几率。

品牌推广机构高级经理| 大多数人不知道的是,亚马逊是美国最大的广告企业之一。据估计,杰夫-贝佐的广告业务规模超过了 Twitter 和 Snapchat。随着亚马逊继续接管数字广告市场,预计他们会从本地广告公司挖走人才。

对于制定激励方案的政策制定者来说,亚马逊的新主场城市之争是一场冒险的赌注。但是,如果亚马逊如约兑现承诺,那么一个地方政府在未来 5-7 年内的发展前景将一片光明。贝索斯最擅长的就是兑现承诺。

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